>

CommodityOne Weekly Report – September 16, 2025

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here.

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

etgryhtjuy.webp

Expert insights curated weekly

ghytju.webp

Powered by CommodityONE

poultry commodity update for back office users powered by CommodityONE

Poultry

Poultry markets remain steady. Wings continue to trade at a premium as football season fuels demand, while breast and tender prices are balanced. Dark meat continues to be the most economical option. For operators, poultry spend often represents one of the largest line items, making visibility into SKU-level pricing critical for forecasting.

Outlook: Wings are expected to remain firm through October, while breast and tenders should stay steady. Back Office reporting allows operators to see exactly how poultry spend trends are impacting margins — ensuring operators can adjust menu pricing or recipes before cost creep shows up in the P&L.

Beef commodity update exclusively for Back Office users, powered by CommodityONE

Beef

Beef markets have eased after summer highs. Middle meats like ribeyes and strips are moderating, while value cuts such as chucks, rounds, and grinds are becoming more attractive. Retail demand is still holding grind pricing firm. Operators need to monitor how beef fluctuations affect both menu engineering and food cost percentage.

Outlook: Chucks and rounds could soften slightly, while grinds remain supported. With Back Office, operators can track real-time beef costs, tie them directly to recipe costing, and forecast impact on margins across the menu mix.

Pork commodity update exclusively for Back Office, users powered by CommodityONE

Pork

Pork markets are mixed. Bellies remain volatile, keeping bacon unpredictable, while loins and ribs are providing stronger value compared to beef. Hams are steady, supported by sandwich and deli demand. Volatility in bellies underscores the importance of linking purchasing data to actual plate costs.

Outlook: Bacon will remain week-to-week, while loins and ribs should stay favorable. Back Office helps operators verify invoices against expected pricing and calculate true recipe costs so unexpected bacon spikes don’t derail profitability.

Seafood commodity update for Back Officer users powered by CommodityONE

Seafood

Seafood markets are steady overall. Whitefish and value-added fillets are stable, and shrimp markets are balanced with small premiums on preferred sizes. For operators, seafood spend can swing based on portion size and spec — a key area where visibility into invoices helps control variance.

Outlook: Expect steady supply overall with premiums on certain shrimp sizes. Back Office enables operators to track seafood spend by SKU and location, ensuring portion costs stay aligned with forecasts and budgets.

Produce commodity update for Back Office users powered by CommodityONE

Produce

Produce remains steady with pockets of variability. Leafy greens are stable out of Salinas, though weather remains a watchpoint. Tomatoes are mixed, with smaller grape and cherry varieties tight. Potatoes and onions are balanced, while berries remain inconsistent by district. For operators, these shifts directly impact weekly invoice totals — especially on high-velocity SKUs like lettuce and tomatoes.

Outlook: Greens may firm slightly with heat, and berries and tomatoes may continue showing variability. Back Office allows operators to see these shifts reflected immediately in reporting, enabling proactive adjustments to menu builds or supplier allocations.

Dairy commodity update for Back Office users powered by CommodityONE

Dairy

Cheese is range-bound, while butter is beginning to trend higher as holiday baking season approaches. Milk supplies remain steady. For operators, dairy is often tied directly to pizza, pasta, and dessert profitability, making cost transparency essential.

Outlook: Cheese should hold near term, while butter may firm into Q4. Back Office tools help operators forecast the effect of rising butter costs on recipes and menu categories, keeping margins in line with expectations.

Grains commodity update for Back Office users powered by CommodityONE

Grains

Grain and flour markets remain stable, though freight continues to influence delivered cost. For operators with high dough or bakery usage, these fluctuations can materially affect prime costs.

Outlook: Prices are expected to move sideways near term. With Back Office, operators can link flour and grain purchases directly to recipe costing, ensuring accurate COGS reporting and better cash flow management.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox.

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

etgryhtjuy.webp

Expert insights curated weekly

ghytju.webp

Powered by CommodityONE

Share this post

Related posts

Explore our latest insights for optimizing your restaurant operations.