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CommodityOne Weekly Report – July 15th, 2025

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here.

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

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poultry commodity update for back office users, powered by CommodityONE

Poultry

Boneless skinless breasts dropped again to $1.95/lb—down 30% from last month—while wings inched up to $1.47/lb but are still far below 2023 pricing. Boneless thigh meat also dipped but remains elevated year-over-year. Turkey prices climbed, with breasts up 12% and whole birds up 6%.

Outlook: Expect prices to keep sliding as harvests increase. This is a good time to monitor contracts and use white meat strategically across the menu.

Beef commodity updates exclusively for Back Office users, powered by CommodityONE

Beef

Beef cutout values fell last week. Striploins and ribeyes declined, but tenderloins and shortloins ticked up. Ground beef slipped to $3.77/lb, while 50% trim hit a record high at $2.68/lb.

Outlook: Prices are trending lower overall. Review portion sizes, cost-per-serving, and ordering patterns to stay ahead of fluctuations.

Pork commodity update for Back Office users, powered by CommodityONE

Pork

The pork cutout rose 3% last week after a sharp dip the week before. Bellies, hams, and tenderloins drove the rebound, while pork butts and ribs moved lower. Trim values remain firm.

Outlook: With price drops expected in the coming weeks, it’s a good time to evaluate inventory levels and buy strategically where margins allow.

Seafood commodity update exclusively for Back Office users, powered by CommodityONE

Seafood

Seafood prices fell sharply last month—tilapia dropped 12% and is already below where it typically lands in September. Lower-than-usual import volumes are keeping prices soft.

Outlook: Great time to feature seafood as a value protein. Build limited-time offers or seasonal items while prices remain favorable.

produce commodity updates

Produce

Lettuce prices have nearly tripled since mid-June—an unusual spike for this time of year—and could go even higher before cooling off. Idaho potato prices are also up 40% ahead of harvest.

Outlook: Be ready for continued swings. Use lower-cost greens, pre-cut options, or frozen alternatives to manage waste and prep time.

dairy commodity update from back office

Dairy

Butter and cheese prices were mostly flat last week, though heat is starting to impact milk supply. Cheesemakers in warmer regions are sourcing additional milk through the spot market.

Outlook: Expect stable pricing for now, but keep an eye on regional availability if you rely heavily on dairy ingredients.

Grain

Corn prices dropped again, even with record-setting export numbers, due to large harvest expectations in the U.S. and Brazil.

Outlook: Lower grain prices could ease cost pressure on items like bread, flour, and fryer oil. Watch for long-term savings opportunities in pantry staples.

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