Poultry
Chicken production continued to improve last week, with output running nearly 2% above last year thanks to higher slaughter volumes and heavier bird weights. Market pricing remained mixed, with wings and leg quarters moving higher while breasts and tenderloins held relatively steady. Although current supplies remain favorable, declining producer margins could eventually slow production growth.
Outlook: Poultry costs remain manageable today, but operators should continue monitoring invoices and food costs for signs of pricing shifts later this year.
Beef
Beef production posted a modest weekly increase but remains 5.8% below last year’s levels year to date as cattle inventories stay historically tight. Wholesale beef prices eased across several cuts, but retail prices remain near record highs, reflecting continued supply constraints throughout the market.
Outlook: Beef will likely remain one of the biggest contributors to food cost pressure, making regular cost reviews and menu profitability analysis increasingly important.
Pork
Pork production declined slightly last week but continues to run modestly ahead of last year because of heavier hog weights. Pricing remains mixed across the category, with bacon continuing to perform well while pepperoni and sausage costs remain elevated due to higher trim prices. Recent weakness in trim markets could begin easing those costs in the months ahead.
Outlook: Pork markets remain relatively stable, though operators should continue reviewing product costs to identify opportunities for savings.
Produce
Produce markets remained relatively quiet despite the ongoing cyclospora outbreak linked to lettuce from Central Mexico, which has had little impact on pricing so far. Iceberg lettuce appears to be stabilizing, avocados moved modestly higher, and onion markets continue following expected seasonal trends.
Outlook: Produce pricing remains favorable overall, but seasonal changes make routine purchasing and food cost reviews especially valuable.
Dairy
Cheese prices continued climbing, with block cheese up nearly 16% over the past month, while butter, dry whey, and nonfat dry milk all declined. Expanding milk production should help maintain adequate supply despite recent strength in cheese pricing.
Outlook: Restaurants should closely monitor cheese-heavy menu items and recipe costs as elevated dairy pricing continues to impact margins.
Grains
Grain markets moved higher last week as geopolitical tensions and rising crude oil prices increased volatility, particularly for wheat. Global export uncertainty continues to influence pricing across the category.
Outlook: Grain-based products may experience continued price fluctuations, making it important to validate vendor pricing and monitor ingredient costs closely.
Seafood
Shrimp prices continued declining, reaching their lowest monthly average since September 2024 as stronger import volumes increased available supply. Current pricing presents a favorable purchasing environment before seasonal demand begins pushing prices higher later this year.
Outlook: Lower shrimp costs may create opportunities to improve menu margins or feature seafood promotions while pricing remains favorable.
